Munaeem's Blog

A political independent and moderate’s comments, analysis and links on important stories in the news

B'Tselem: Israel forcing Palestinians to leave homes

via Israel News:

Human rights group claims Jewish state ’created conditions that made Palestinians move’ from central Hebron by discriminating residents based on their ethnicity. Settlers call report an ’unbroken string of lies and distortions’

The report says :

"The survey showed that at least 1,014 Palestinian housing units, which account for 41.9 percent of those in the area, are empty. Of these, 65 percent were vacated during the course of the second Palestinian intifada, which began in 2000.

B’Tselem spokeswoman Sarit Michaeli said :

’’They created conditions that made the Palestinians move. The army can’t now say that they didn’t know this was going to happen."

The Israeli military declined comment.

They say Israel is democratic country. It wants peace with Palestinians. But their actions belie their claims.

Israel approves targeted killings to counter Gaza fire

Israel’s security cabinet yesterday approved more targeted killing operations against suspected Palestinian militants to combat near daily rocket attacks from the Gaza Strip, a minister said.

"It was decided there will be more liquidation fire against terrorists and I think this will limit the damage (on Israel from the rocket attacks)," National Infrastructure Minister Benjamin Ben-Eliezer told army radio.

Carol Hoenig: The Evils of Radical Fundamentalism

Author: Carol Hoenig
via
www.huffingtonpost.com

For the last several years, a network of radical fundamentalists has wreaked havoc on the American way of life. No, I’m not talking about al Qaeda, but rather the fundamental Christians who believe they have been ordained by a higher power to right what they believe is wrong with America. James Dobson, Jerry Falwell, Pat Robertson and their powerful, prosperous Christian organizations, have exchanged democracy for theocracy and it hasn’t been working out too well for anyone.

This has become all too apparent in light of Attorney General Alberto Gonzales’s mess. One of the most profound revelations in the investigation is how many people in the present administration are from Pat Robertson’s Regent University School of Law. According to The Boston Globe, graduates of the law school have been among the most influential of the more than 150 Regent University alumni hired to federal government positions since President Bush took office in 2001, according to a university website.

President Bush has been quoted saying that he believes God wanted him to be president. Whether Bush’s conversion was authentic or if it was a strategy in order to gather the sheep and secure their votes, something has gone terribly wrong. The president may have sold his soul to the Christian Right in order to get into office, but now that he’s been firmly planted there for two terms, one wonders how he can possibly ignore that he’s driven our country on the road to hell. Is he that indebted to the Christian Right that he refuses to acknowledge the egregious errors of his ways? Or, because of his low approval rating, does he consider himself a martyr, believing he will eventually be vindicated by some miracle?

Here’s the thing: these so-called Christians are not relying on genuine faith, which is supposed to be the bedrock of their belief, but instead rely on manipulation in order to get what they want. Do they not see the contradiction of calculating control over a system that is supposed to be separate from government? If they believe God answers prayer, why didn’t they simply ask to have the government handed over to them without going through subversive means? Apparently, prayer alone wasn’t good enough.

Still, not a group to be discouraged, when there is the belief that the voice of God is directing them, there is little need to pay attention or account to mere mortals, which is obviously the case for the Bush administration. But, tragically, it is this thinking that has divided our country in so many factions that we are becoming our own worst enemy and the call for America to be blessed seems more like a curse thanks to the radical fundamentalists.


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Where are the compliments?

By Haaretz Editorial 0

The Winograd Committee was not established to discuss the political futures of Ehud Olmert and Amir Peretz, but rather to investigate the Second Lebanon War. The question of who said what to whom, and in what tone; who had whose back and who passed the buck to whom - all this is fascinating gossip but does nothing to change the outcome.



The testimonies of the three principals that were released last week neither added to nor subtracted from the conclusions of the committee. They merely diverted attention from the main point. At the end of the day, the testimonies are the responses submitted to the committee about things the members already knew from primary sources. The committee read the minutes from the relevant meetings and knew what each person said at the time of the events themselves; it examined plans and investigations, cross-checked the versions of commanders and reached its own conclusions. If the prime minister testifies to the committee again, will he cease to be the prime minister responsible for the war? And if additional compliments to the prime minister that members of the committee included within their questions are publicized, will that reduce his responsibility?

The testimonies exemplify the adage that failure is an orphan. None of the politicians told the committee he had made a critical error, that he was perhaps unsuited for his position, that he perhaps did not comprehend the fact he was going to war. They all said, "I am responsible" without accepting responsibility. They all said, we would have done it all again, perhaps after correcting some small detail. Each of the principals told the committee: I held meetings, I read, I reported, I consulted, I checked, I considered, as if submitting a report to some mysterious superior and not as if they themselves were the executives.

Ehud Olmert admitted in his testimony that the army failed. Had there been a correspondence between promises and their execution, the war would have ended differently, he said. Amir Peretz says he had nothing to do with the army’s claim to be prepared, in contradiction to the real situation. Even the [former] chief of staff says that with different people, things would have been different, but he is not referring to himself. None of them explains why he did not come to conclusions during the war and why he decided on the ground campaign at the end. Committee member Menachem Einan asked: Perhaps an actual change of direction was needed in the middle of the war, not just calling the plans "Change of Direction"? No response appears in the protocols.

It is inappropriate for the country to focus now on the question of why all the compliments that Olmert received from committee members during the hearings were absent in the published protocols. The main lesson of the Second Lebanon War is that the country’s leaders must focus less on themselves and more on running the state, and to do so with the appropriate gravity. If the prime minister thinks resigning is tantamount to fleeing from responsibility rather than accepting it, this goes some way to explaining the failure. If he did not bother to replace the chief of staff during the war or immediately afterward, if he has not replaced the defense minister a year later, it is difficult to comprehend the sort of leadership and responsibility about which he is speaking.

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Hamas Wants a ‘True Solution’

via Little Green Football:

I realize we shouldn’t expect murderers whose entire lives revolve around genocidal hatred to follow rules of logic. But don’t these cretinous killers in cheap suits feel any cognitive discomfort at all when in one breath, they commit themselves and all future Palestinian generations to eternal war until the Jews are wiped out, and in the next breath say, “The Zionist entity is incapable of making peace?”

“Incapable of making peace” means: won’t just lay down and be slaughtered.

And “true solution” is very reminiscent of a similar phrase from last century.

(Courtesy of MEMRI TV.)

Commentary :

Little Green Footballs,

Please compile a list of the people killed in the conflict between Israelis and Palestinians. You will know who is slaughtering whom. More than 300 Palestinians have been killed by the Israeli security forces since June 2005. This has been admitted by the prime minister Olmert.

There is no doubt  Hamas  is a militant organization. The way of violence adopted by Hamas is giving Israelis the pretext to kill and destroy Palestinian people. Portraying every Muslim as terrorist will not solve the problem . It will aggravate the prevailing crisis in the Middle East.

What is the Real Israel Factor?

by Barry Rubin

One of the Middle East's biggest, least-discussed mysteries has been how to understand Israelis. This is a long, complex subject. But so many, including Arab friends, have asked me to explain about this issue that there is an obvious need for clarification here.

Here we go. From 1967 on, Israelis had a great debate. Both sides agreed the Palestinians and most Arab states weren't ready for peace. But the left thought big concessions could bring a permanent political deal once the other side began to change. The right doubted this would happen, and settlements in the captured territories would consolidate control there. Only a small minority saw permanent retention of the territories as a religious obligation. Most Israelis supported holding that land and building settlements as a strategic tactic.

By the end of the 1980s, signs of a real shift in Palestinian positions were still limited. But in the early 1990s, Iraq's defeat by a U.S.-led coalition and the PLO's low point seemed to offer a true opportunity. Rather than try to crush the Palestinian movement forever--something that would have fit the demonization of Israel stereotype--the country offered confidence-building measures and concessions in exchange for real peace. The result: the 1993 "Oslo" agreement and the ensuing peace process.

With the long-awaited moment perhaps at hand, debate within Israel shifted. The left claimed that Palestinian leader Yasir Arafat would make and implement a compromise peace. The right claimed he would do so and then break it. Hardly anyone believed Arafat would turn down even a good deal.

The test came with the Camp David meeting in mid-2000 and the offer by President Bill Clinton, with the agreement of Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak, at the end of 2000. The final offer--and even this was only the minimal proposal for starting negotiations--was a West Bank-Gaza Strip Palestinian state with the equivalent of all the pre-1967 land (with small swaps to make up for Israeli annexation of a few areas) plus a capital in east Jerusalem and massive reparations payments. Arafat turned it down and instead turned to renewed violence and terrorism.

At this point, Israeli perceptions were turned upside down. The high hopes of the 1990s (even my conservative friends, while balking at turning over east Jerusalem, had accepted large concessions and a Palestinian state in exchange for peace) crashed.

Internationally, Israelis had suffered two betrayals. First, there was the Palestinian leadership's use of concessions to strike against Israel directly and undermine its position internationally. After all, Israel's own government had dismantled the negative image of the PLO as a movement whose goals were Israel's destruction and whose means was terrorism. (On one memorable occasion, some American Jewish leaders rewrote a speech for Arafat to make it sound more moderate.)

The other betrayal came from the West, especially Europe. For years, Israel had been told that if it made concessions and took risks for peace, it would have international backing if anything went wrong. Now, subjected to a terrorist assault whose bloodiness was made possible by Israel's own admission of so many returning Palestinians, sponsorship for aid to them, and turning over of territory to their control, Israel also faced the most hostile Western policies and image, too.

Within the country, a new consensus emerged, taking one idea from the left and one idea from the right. From the left, most Israelis accepted the idea of giving up the territories and agreeing to a Palestinian state in exchange for real peace. From the right, the majority concluded that there was not going to be a Palestinian partner for peace or a negotiated resolution for many years to come. Of course, not everyone took this conclusion but most did. On this basis, friends of mine who habitually voted for Meretz on the left now cast their votes for Ariel Sharon to be prime minister.

After a half-century of warfare, in which everyone knows someone or has relatives who have died in war or terrorism, most Israelis are still eager for peace. They are not motivated because they think Israel weak or are afraid, but simply from feeling strongly that peace is preferable to war.

Digging in for the long run, they backed withdrawal from southern Lebanon and from the Gaza Strip. They were ready to pull out of much of the West Bank as well. Whether these withdrawals were a good or bad idea is another column; yet, they were certainly an attempt to show Israel's desire to not be "occupying" another people. At that point, it was up to the Palestinians to show what they would do with the opportunity. The election of Hamas and the continuation of terrorism was the result.

After all this political talk, it should be added that no country in the world--perhaps in history--has so many rapid psychological ups, downs, and dramatic changes as Israel. Yet, public opinion polls show a remarkably high level of personal satisfaction. The economy has boomed; progress continued. Whatever problems the country has--also another column--there is a strong sense of optimism and willingness to examine faults to repair them.

Which reminds me of how one day I took a U.S. newspaper, walked down Shenkin street in Tel Aviv jammed with people, finally found an empty chair in a cafe, and read the front-page article, which explained how Israelis were so fearful of terrorism that nobody went out any more.

Israel's Olmert won't fire rebellious minister

Adam Entous reports :

"Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert opted on Sunday against firing his deputy, Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni, saying they would continue to work together despite her call for his resignation.

Livni issued a public call last week for Olmert to step down following the release of an official report sharply criticising his handling of last year's war in Lebanon."

Analysts say that this reprieve is temporary. The cause of this rapprochment is that government's main coalition partner, the left-leaning Labour party, is considering bolting, a move that could trigger snap elections.

The real challenge for Israel’s anti-Olmert protesters

Uri Avnery challenges Israel’s anti-Olmert protesters to focus on the real issues that will bring real peace to the Middle East: justice for the Palestinians and an end to the occupation.

I have been to many demonstrations in Tel-Aviv's Rabin Square, even when it was still called "Kings of Israel Square".

I was at the legendary "Demonstration of the 400000" after the Sabra and Shatila massacre (actually, there were around 200000, which is still an impressive number). I was there when Yitzhak Rabin was shot. I was there when masses of young people sat on the ground, weeping silently and lighting candles for the murdered leader (It was said at the time that the young generation had finally woken up. But the young generation dried its tears and went on its way together with the cameras). I was there when 100000 streamed to the square quite spontaneously and erupted in an outburst of joy after Ehud Barak won the elections and delivered Israel from the nightmare of Benjamin Netanyahu (even if many of them regretted it later).

But the demonstration in which I took part the day before yesterday was different from all its predecessors. There were people from the left and right, religious and secularists, Orientals and Ashkenazim, settlers and peace activists, young (many young) and elderly. At one point I passed MK [Member of the Knesset, or parliament] Effi Eitam, whom I consider the No. 1 fascist in Israel, and who may well consider me the No. 1 destroyer of Israel. We ignored each other, but we were both there.

It was an uprising of citizens who came together to shout: Enough chutzpah! After the shameful fiasco in Lebanon, the leaders should have resigned at once. The more so after the scathing report of the Winograd commission. As the writer Meir Shalev, one of the speakers at the rally, declared: "Mr Olmert, you said that you work for us. You are fired!"...

The demonstration was aimed at three persons: the prime minister, the minister of defence and the chief of staff at the time of the war.

Dan Halutz has already drawn the right conclusion and resigned. True, in the Book of Proverbs (24,17) the Bible commands us: "Rejoice not when thine enemy falleth, and let not thine heart be glad when he stumbleth," but, frankly, I permitted myself to rejoice and verily mine heart was gladdened.

The story started when Halutz was commander of the air force. In order to kill the Hamas leader, Salah Shehadeh, he ordered the dropping of a one-tonne bomb on his house, which also killed 15 civilians, including nine children.

We sent him and his colleagues letters, warning them that we may sue them for war crimes. When Halutz was asked how he feels when releasing such a bomb, he answered that he feels a slight bump on his wing. He added that we were traitors, and that we should be brought to trial. (Treason is the only crime still punishable by death under Israeli law.)

When Halutz was appointed chief of staff, we protested in front of the General Staff building. The protest was not only motivated by moral considerations, profound as they were. We also warned against giving the command of the army to a person whose boastful style testified to his being reckless, irresponsible and devoid of judgment.

Now comes the Winograd commission and repeats almost the same words. But in the meantime 119 Israeli soldiers, 40 Israeli civilians and about a thousand Lebanese have been killed - because the pitiful political leadership was mesmerized by this winged nincompoop.

The crowd in the square directed its anger at Ehud Olmert, and to a lesser degree at the pathetic Amir Peretz. As is usual in the era of television, when the cameras can only focus on faces and not ideas, everything is personal. The entire protest was focused on individuals.

That was quite justified. This man Olmert has proved to be an arrogant and foolhardy leader, who rushed into a war with minimal knowledge of the situation in Lebanon, the capabilities of the army, the vulnerability of Israel's civilian population to rockets. He did not consider any alternatives. His only field of expertise is party manipulations, as he is proving again now.

What is Olmert accused of? That he decided to go to war rashly. That the war had no clearly defined political and military goals. That he did not mobilize the reserves in time and did not make sure that the forces were properly trained and equipped. That he did not deploy the ground forces in time. That he decided on a big ground attack at the last moment, after the UN had already adopted the cease-fire resolution, and thus squandered the lives of 40 more soldiers. 

All these accusations are accurate. But they also include a large measure of escapism.

That is a trait of the Israeli people (and perhaps of all peoples): they do all they can to avoid discussing the real disease and busy themselves with secondary, sometimes trivial, symptoms.

After the 1973 war, the people did not ask: Why did Golda Meir not respond to Anwar Sadat's peace offer before the war? Why did we spend, after the 1967 war, six long years on victory festivals, vainglorious speeches and putting up settlements, instead of seizing a unique opportunity for making peace? Why was the ship of state run like a ship of fools?

Instead of posing these questions, the Israeli public focused its frustrations, anger and protests on two questions: "Why were the reserves not called up? Why were the instruments (meaning tanks and artillery) not moved forward (on the eve of the war)?" Valid questions, but secondary ones. The Agranat Commision also focused on them. The masses demonstrated because of them. Menachem Begin rode on them to victory.

The same happened after the First Lebanon War. The condemnation was rightly focused on the Sabra and Shatila massacre. Because of it, the Kahan Commission was appointed. Because of it, the legendary mega-demonstration in Kings of Israel Square took place. Because of it, Ariel Sharon was driven out of the Ministry of Defence. But the main question was not asked: Why did Begin and Sharon invade Lebanon at all? Why did they prefer the Golan Heights to peace, as Moshe Dayan had previously preferred Sharm-el-Sheikh to peace? Why did they start an adventure that lasted for 18 years, at the price of more than a thousand Israeli soldiers, a war whose only lasting result was the rise to power of Hizbullah?

Now it is happening again.

Should we topple Olmert? Perhaps it would be better to replace Olmert with Tzipi Livni or Shimon Peres? (No, I'm not joking.) Or maybe it would be better to hold new elections, even if Netanyahu might win them? Is the failed Netanyahu better than the failed Olmert, or must we bring back the failed Barak? Or perhaps we should leave Olmert in place after all, in the hope that he won't start any more wars without thinking?

But the real question is not why Olmert started the war in haste, but why he started the war at all.

Every right-thinking person understands that Hizbullah can be neutralized only by making peace with Syria, a peace for which we must give back the Golan Heights. What is more important for us - peace or the Golan? The Golan (and the God-forsaken Shebaa Farms) or peace with Lebanon?

About that no serious debate is being held - not in the Knesset, nor in the media, nor in public discussions. That was not the reason the masses assembled in the square. That is too complicated. That is too controversial. That needs cool thinking, drawing conclusions from what has happened. It is easier to shout "Olmert Go Home!"

Yes, Olmert must indeed go home. We need a new leadership, one that understands that Israel will know tranquility only if we make peace with the Palestinians, even when the price is the dismantling of settlements. Is this being discussed seriously? Would this demand draw hundreds of thousands to the square? Of course not.

In Thursday's [3 May] demonstration, Meir Shalev brought up the subject of the occupation and the settlements, much to the displeasure of the organizers who wanted to preserve unity. Some of the demonstrators protested (while others applauded). After all, that is controversial. So why talk about it on this festive occasion?

Because in the absence of a discussion of the issues that will determine our fate, everything else turns into an exercise in escapism.

Standing in the square, between men wearing knitted kippas and men wearing T-shirts, orthodox women with long sleeves and women wearing very un-orthodox tight jeans, I could not avoid a bitter thought: Where the hell were you when your voices could have saved so many lives? Were you saluting Olmert the avenging hero, when he sent you into the war?

And you journalists who, almost all of you, called upon the people to come and protest, didn't you call upon the people with the same enthusiasm to go to war?

What do we need now: to prepare for the next war - or to prevent the next war? To set up a government that will invade Lebanon again, and perhaps Syria, too, in order to "restore the deterrent power of the army" - or a government that will start serious negotiations to achieve peace?.

To lead Israel, Livni Must win battle of sexes

via Telegraph.co.uk:

"Tzipi Livni has made clear that she wants to be Israel's first female prime minister since Golda Meir but she faces deep misgivings inside the male-dominated militaristic society.

Mrs Livni, a former spy, is popular among Israelis, having steered clear of recent corruption scandals and escaped rebuke for last summer's war.

But if the married mother-of-two is to become premier, she must first overcome the old-boy network that dominates Israeli politics and convince her fellow Kadima Party MPs - and the Israeli public - that a woman is capable of leading the country at a time of crisis.

Mrs Livni's critics use the sort of vocabulary that makes women's rights activist shudder: unripe, indecisive, unsure of herself and even "European", which for many Israelis is synonymous with spineless and effete.

"Israel is still a chauvinistic and militaristic society and it's very hard for Israelis to accept a woman prime minister, or women in very senior positions," said Zahava Gal-On, an MP from the Left-wing Meretz Party and a women's rights activist.

Israel News Analysis - The Winograd Report Hits the Fan

Written by Ruvy in Jerusalem
Published May 03, 2007
Ma'aleh Levona, Israel

May Day! May Day!

That has been the cry going out from the "prime minister" Ehud Olmert and "security minister" Amir Peretz, the Two Stooges whose goose was cooked when the Winograd Report hit the fan during the evening hours of 30 April. The Third Stooge, former IDF "chief of staff" Dan Halutz, had already been sacked and is now hiding out at Harvard in the groves of academe. Various press reports have talked about how scathing the report was etc., etc., and of the "political earthquake" that hit Israel.

Gimme a break!

From hundreds of anecdotal reports, Israeli soldiers were sent forth without adequate supplies to engage the enemy in the north, HizbAllah, attacking them along the line of expectation, the precise path that HizbAllah expected to be attacked.

Woo hoo! Way to go, retard!

The sins of Olmert and crew have already been hashed over hundreds of times since last July, when the fool brazenly bragged about recovering hostages "kidnapped" by HizbAllah in the north and Hamas in the south - and then refused to follow even a reasonable strategy to do so. Everyone has been calling for the idiots' heads since being sent home from the north with reservists leaving huge signs at the edge of Jerusalem -  "Take Responsibility For Your Mistakes! Quit and Go Home!"

When the Katyusha rockets began hitting the northern third of Israel last July 12th, the government and administration ran away, leaving the citizenry to fend for themselves. The government has not even transferred to the "responsible authorities," the idiots who ran away, the millions of shekels needed to enable the recovery of the northern part of the country. Today, there is a general strike in the north to protest that fact.

All the Winograd Report has done has been to put the obvious into official language that not even the pretentiously magisterial Olmert, or the "little captain" Peretz, can deny.

Getting Around the Rule of Law

Let's do a little analysis of all this, remembering these points. Olmert, who was the Vice Prime Minister when Ariel Sharon had his major stroke early in 2006, was kept in office by a subterfuge of the law. Ariel Sharon did in fact die in Hadassah Hospital, as David Bedein reported. But he was dragged back from the dead, and stuck on life support machines for political reasons.

According to Israeli law, had Sharon been declared dead, the head of the political party he headed when he became prime minister in 2003 would have succeeded to the position of interim prime minister, and new elections would have been called. The head of the political party that Sharon headed upon accession to the prime minister's office in 2003 was the head of the Likud party, Benyamin Netanyahu.

By declaring the prime minister "impaired," Attorney General Menahem Mazuz avoided the possibility of Netanyahu becoming prime minister and thus allowed Ehud Olmert, and Sharon's fake political creation that Olmert now headed, "Kadima," to continue in office and attempt to form a government if it won a sufficient number of seats in the elections.

So an operation was done upon a corpse, and reports came out regularly about Ariel Sharon's condition to maintain the fiction that he was the sitting prime minister, while Ehud Olmert ran for office while sitting in the prime minister's chair. Now that Olmert has been in office for a year and half, Sharon has been airbrushed out of the political photos. Scarcely a word is said about the corpse of a man hooked up to life support machines.

Why?

Way back in 2004, Sharon, after declaring his intent to pull out of Gush Katif, offered to hold a referendum within the Likud party to allow the members of the Likud, whom he represented, to decide on pulling out. It appeared at first that he would actually follow the desire of the voters, his own supporters, in the matter. In the end, he lost the referendum, and declared that he would go ahead with a withdrawal anyway. But, deferring to the voters of his party, he would only order a withdrawal from a few of the 24 towns and villages in Gush Katif. A report harshly critical of this referndum and of Israel's presence in Gaza noted the following:
Predictions from within Likud are that he will now offer only a partial withdrawal from the Gaza Strip of only those of the 21 settlements “most exposed” to violence. The occupation of the Gaza Strip would be essentially unchanged.
Enter Menny Mazuz. The attorney general declared that Sharon had to pull out of the entire bloc of Gush Katif as he said he would. What power had Mazuz, whose position as attorney general did not qualify him to try to make security policy? Mazuz had possible indictments sitting in his drawer - indictments of Ariel Sharon and his son Omri to begin with, for various kinds of fraud, campaign violations, and the like.

Mazuz, who had been a protegé of Yossi Beilin, a staunch advocate of withdrawal from Gaza, Judea and Samaria, was merely following "his" party line, and using the indictments in the drawer as his weapon.

By 6 May 2004, Mr. Sharon, picking up the hint, returned to the line of pulling out of Gush Katif entirely, and stonewalled his way through the entire effort. And what was the central plank of the "Kadima" party that Sharon founded in 2005 after the withdrawal from Gush Katif? Withdrawal from all of Judea and Samaria, unilaterally, if need be! This was the policy known as "convergence".

The loss in Lebanon basically did in that policy. Oh, Olmert will pretend to support it, and his foreign minister Tzipi Livni will talk about a "Palestinian state" and all that trash - but the people of Israel are not willing to buy that bill of goods any more. But if a knight on a white horse comes to the nation's rescue...

Knight on a White Horse

So we see Olmert facing the desertion of his coalition as Kadima minister after Kadima minister tries to figure out a way to replace Olmert without facing the danger of new elections. Labor Minister Eitan Cabel quit the government urging his fellow ministers from the Labor party to do likewise, including Mr. Peretz; the chief of the coalition quit, calling upon Olmert to do likewise, Tzipi Livni has already tried a putsch within the Kadima party - and failed. If you examine this page listing articles in Haaretz, you'll see one major name in Israeli politics absent.

Shim'on Peres.

Deputy Prime Minister Shim'on Peres has been the eminence grise in this government, the fellow who knows where all the bodies are buried (literally). While Olmert has publicly faltered, Peres had remained quiet awaiting the release of the interim report of the Winograd Committee to confirm the incompetence of Mr. Olmert, his security minister and former chief of staff. But Peres moves carefully, and has been campaigning quietly to oust Olmert and take the position himself. A Stratfor analysis dismisses him as a possible replacement for Olmert, arguing that the situation calls for someone strong in security, rather than diplomacy. That would rule out Tzipi Livni, who appears to enjoy the support of the Hebrew press.

Let's take another look at Peres, then. It can be fatal to under-estimate him. While he was never a general in the army, he has credentials that make him very strong in the area of security. He initiated atomic energy research in the 1950s in Israel and in the 1970's he was instrumental in Israel's "acquiring" nuclear material for its clutch of nuclear missiles. In 1976, he orchestrated the rescue of 100 Israeli hostages from Uganda, the daring operation at the Entebbe airport that killed Yoni Netanyahu and brought his brother Benyamin into the political limelight.

In addition, Peres has a resource that virtually none of his contemporaries, friend or foe, has - a solid Jesuit education. The Jesuits are famous for their ability to teach strategic thinking, and Peres learned at their knee. Keeping this in mind, let us look at three possible scenarios for the medium future.

1. One is that Olmert is driven from office and is succeeded by Peres, who promises to bring a fresh approach and to save the Kadima party from its natural fate - extinction. But there is a corollary to this scenario, one that I've examined before. This is that Katzav is also driven from office in one way or another, and that Peres steps forth as the deGaulle of the country, seeking to combine the posts of state president and prime minister and end the instability of the country's political system. This is the "knight on a white horse scenario." Given that there is virtually nobody else to run the country who has any level of competence (with a couple of exceptions), the Israeli "maiden" kisses this knight whom she has spurned so many times before.

2. The second is that Olmert is driven from office and that either Tzipi Livni or Avi Dichter takes his place. Katzav is driven from office in one way or another, and is replaced by Peres as state president. Because of Peres' ties overseas, he exercises considerable behind the scenes influence, far greater than his office warrants, and he seems again to be a "knight on a white horse", serving as mentor for the younger cabinet members and being invited to sit in on their meetings.

3. The final scenario is that Olmert is able to hold onto the "seat" of prime minister but is forced to accede to rule by others - like his deputy prime minister, Peres.

What do all three scenarios have in common?

The European Union, with some help from NATO, will be invited in to "expedite" the "peace process" - that is to say drive out Jews from their homes in Judea, Samaria, the Heights of the Golan, and very possibly parts of Jerusalem itself.

Tzipi Livni: NO GUTS, NO Glory

Author:  Yid With Lid

Tzipi Livni had an opportunity to show that she was a leader yesterday. She had the opportunity to reach out and grasp the golden ring of power, to lead a revolution. Everyone expected her to. But yesterday when she stepped up to microphone to make her move, she showed that her ability to lead is no better than that of the person she wants to replace.

With the eyes of the country upon her she opened her mouth for a bold declaration and out came a little squeak. Yes she called for Olmert to quit, yes she indicated that she would like the party's leadership position in the future----and then NOTHING !

A real leader would have said that if he doesn't resign she would use every means possible to oust him. A real leader might have even said "I think the people should decide if Olmert continues" and call for new elections. A real leader would have found a way to keep the anti-Olmert momentum going. But yesterday Tzipi Livni showed that she is NOT a real leader.

Ted Turner the sometimes nut bag who started CNN once said, "either lead, follow or get the Hell out of the way !!!" Tzipi did none of the above. Instead, she made a luke-warm fence sitting declaration and decided to let everyone else do her do her dirty work. Livni could have accelerated the momentum against Olmert, instead she slowed it down.

A real leader takes bold action during a crisis---Tzipi Livni made a tepid "vanilla" response, proving that she is not a what Israel needs. She has no guts and should get no glory.

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‘The common Israeli wisdom’

Michael Jansen

via Jordan Times

Last summer’s Israeli onslaught on Lebanon — an operation so fraught with doubts that it was initially referred to as the “war with no name” — has been dubbed the “Second Lebanon War” by Israel’s media. The politico-military establishment has refused to give a formal name to the war — comparable to the 1982 “Peace for Galilee” and the 1996 “Grapes of Wrath” campaigns — because Israel was defeated in battle for the first time by an Arab force. Israel wears defeat badly.

This defeat was doubly humiliating because the victor, the Lebanese Hizbollah movement, a lightly armed paramilitary force, rather than a regular army with the latest state-of-the-art weaponry matching, or bettering Israel’s vast arsenal, drove Israel out of south Lebanon in 2000. So Israel cannot claim it was outgunned or out-manoeuvred and outfought.

Having tasted humiliation twice at the hands of Hizbollah, the angry and frustrated Israeli military is muttering