Munaeem's Blog

A political independent and moderate’s comments, analysis and links on important stories in the news

Nejad learns economy situation from his butcher

Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has said he keeps aware of Iran’s economic situation by talking to his butcher, newspapers reported on Saturday.

“We have hardworking shopkeepers in our neighbourhood from whom I get important economic information because they are living among the people,” Ahmadinejad, the son of a blacksmith, was quoted by Iran’s Sharq daily as saying. “For example, there is an honourable butcher in our neighbourhood who is aware of all the problems of the people and I get important economic information from him,” he said in a meeting with worker unions, Sharq reported. It is not the first time Ahmadinejad has pointed to his local shopkeepers when addressing Iranian economic issues.

Facing complaints about inflation, he told parliament in a budget speech in January that Iranians should pop around to his neighbourhood grocer to buy tomatoes where he said they were much cheaper than the soaring prices he said others were citing.

Ahmadinejad swept to power in 2005 with a campaign that vowed to share out Iran’s oil wealth more fairly. He stages regular regional tours, promising cash to provinces where many previously felt neglected by central government. But economists say his policies of lowering interest rates and doling out Iran’s windfall oil earnings are pushing up inflation, which they say is mainly hurting the poor who the president has said he is most eager to help.

Inflation was running at more than 17 percent in February, when the central bank last released figures for the consumer price index. Economists say prices are continuing to climb, a major grumble among ordinary Iranians. Ahmadinejad has dismissed such criticism, saying inflation is an issue that predates his government and has accused the media of exaggerating the problem.

via reuters

Pakistan ‘complicit’ in US moves on Iran

via Daily Times :

The reason the United States is reluctant to support the democracy movement in Pakistan is because it has reached certain understandings with President General Pervez Musharraf on possible military action against the Iranian nuclear programme, according to noted area expert Selig Harrison, who recently returned form a week-long trip to Iran.

He said Pakistan is “already complicit” and is playing a role as “destabilisation activity” against Iran has been underway for some time through Pakistan and Afghanistan.

However, prevailing evidence does not substantiate this perspective. First, this is the US presidential election period where divergent viewpoints on America’s role in Iraq are uppermost. For America to take any military action in Iran, it would need fresh authorisation from a Democratic-controlled Congress, which is highly unlikely. Secondly, any military action will open a huge third front for which there is no public appetite in the country today because it could mean reinstatement of the hugely unpopular draft. Also, Iran has cards: namely Hezbollah and Hamas, as well as it has the ability to trigger actions in Iraq and Afghanistan. The credibility of US policy in the Middle East already lies in tatters and the administration cannot possibly sell fresh military action in another theatre. Also, it should not be ignored that after nearly 30 years, the US and Iran have sat down together in Baghdad for face to face talks, in pursuance to the Iraq Study Group recommendations. Nor can it be ignored that Dick Cheney’s former chief of staff Scooter Libby has been convicted of perjury, further eroding the vice president’s authority and influence.

Harrison told Daily Times in an exclusive interview that Washington’s Pakistan policy is run from Vice President Dick Cheney’s office. There is a group in there which is pushing for a showdown with Iran, including military action, over its nuclear programme before the end of the Bush presidency. That could also become a basis for regime change in Tehran. The vice president attaches great importance to President Musharraf and it would appear that an understanding has been reached with him on Iran. The Cheney lobby is keen on destabilising Iran.

Harrison said Cheney’s last visit to Pakistan was Iran-related. Cheney also wanted to find out if there was more information to be gleaned from Dr AQ Khan on Iran’s nuclear programme and what assistance his network had rendered to it. The US is frustrated that it is not able to question Dr Khan direct and has to settle for information filtered through Gen Musharraf and Maj Gen Khalid Kidwai. The State Department is of the view that the US should recognise the significance of the present democracy movement in Pakistan and the sentiment behind it, but is inhibited by the vice president’s office to move in that direction, hence its recent “wishy-washy” statements on Pakistan. Many people in the State Department recognise that the people of Pakistan want military rule to end but are unable to have this assessment translated into the desired action.

Harrison said he deeply regrets this because democracy can only develop if democracy is enabled to take root. He expressed his “complete dismay” that the United States has failed to come out in support of pro-democracy forces in Pakistan. He added, however, that there are many in the US who fear what will follow Gen Musharraf, were he to leave the scene.

Countdown To War On Iran

via countercurrents.org:

Silently, stealthily, unseen by cameras, the war on Iran has already begun. Many sources confirm that the United States, bent on destabilising the Islamic Republic, has increased its aid to armed movements among the Azeri, Baluchi, Arab and Kurdish ethnic minorities that make up about 40% of the Iranian population.

ABC News reported in April that the US had secretly assisted the Baluchi group Jund al-Islam (Soldiers of Islam), responsible for a recent attack in which some 20 members of the Revolutionary Guard were killed. According to an American Foundation report (1), US commandos have operated inside Iran since 2004.


Ahmadinejad sees 'countdown' on Israel

Iran's president said Israel's days are numbered.

"The countdown for the Zionist regime's collapse has started," Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was quoted as saying by the Fars news agency on Sunday. "God willing, we will soon witness the collapse of this regime."

Ahmadinejad further predicted that Israel would "bow" to fighting on the Palestinian and Lebanese fronts. His frequent anti-Israel rhetoric has stoked international concern over the nuclear program in Iran.

Ahmadinejad has made anti-Israel comments in the past.

In October 2005, he caused outrage in the West when he said in a speech that Israel's "Zionist regime should be wiped off the map."

His supporters have argued Ahmadinejad's words were mistranslated and should have been better translated as "vanish from the pages of time" _ implying Israel would vanish on its own rather be destroyed.


Iran Hostage Crisis, part two

PARANOID that a network of U.S. scholars and thinkers is fomenting a velvet revolution, Iran charged three U.S.-Iranian citizens with espionage. If convicted, they could face execution.

The accused are Haleh Esfandiari, the 67-year-old director of the Middle East program at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars; Kian Tajbakhsh, 45, a respected social scientist at the New School in New York who has consulted for George Soros Open Society Institute and the World Bank; and Radio Farda journalist Parnaz Azima, 59. The government and various state news agencies have accused these Iranian Americans and their organizations of endangering state security.

The charges are ludicrous. Esfandiari, who has invited scholars and statesmen from Iran to U.S. conferences and events, has been criticized by some in the Iranian-American community as being too soft on the current regime. And not only has Tajbakhsh consulted directly for the Iranian government, but the supposedly Zionist and soft overthrow-obsessed organization he works for, the Open Society Institute, has run all its humanitarian and health outreach programs in Iran with the full cooperation of the Iranian government. Irans government approached the institute in 2003, for example, to provide relief after the Bam earthquake. The idea that any of these people were in Iran to concoct a U.S.-funded insurgent network is especially absurd, given that all three were there on private visits.

These individuals are pawns. Those in Iran who care about the worlds respect should press for their release.

Washington Post

Editorial

Iran minister backs brief marriages to stem illicit sex

Iran Interior Minister Mostafa Pour-Mohammadi said that in order stop illicit between man and women . We should encourage young people to to get temporarily married .

He said Iran should seek to promote the practice with “boldness” and urged seminary scholars to study the matter and come up with ways to “execute God’s command in society.”





US stance on pipe will backfire.

Pakistan , India and Iran is on the verge of striking a deal on $7 billion natural gas pipeline project.

The project will help India and Pakistan fulfill their growing energy demand. This will also contribute to regional co-operation and stability.

However, Washington does not want to let this project succeed. It fears that this project will put more money in Tehran’s pocket ,which will help it to finance its nuclear projects.

Analysts say that US stance will backfire because if US try to stop this project. It will loose a major ally on war on terror.


Iran had started to harvest the fruits of its policies

The meeting between US and Iran showed Iran had started to harvest the fruits of its policies while the United States was paying the price of its failure in Iraq.

The meeting is a clear American submission. The United States is ready to cooperate with Iran because the Arabs have refused cooperation in the Iraqi matter.

While
Arabs viewed the meeting as a negative development that  shook their trust in Washington

If Arab countries continued to merely complain, watch, and ignore the central Iraqi government, Iraq would become an "Iranian colony for the next 20 years."


US-Iran Talks

The United States and Iran broke a 27-year diplomatic freeze Monday with a four-hour meeting about Iraqi security.

The administration initially rejected proposals by the Iranians and the bipartisan Iraq Study Group in Washington to open negotiations about security in Iraq.

Previous attempts to hold direct talks had to be abandoned in the face of opposition from hardliners in Tehran and Washington.

An AP reporter who witnessed the opening of the session said Crocker and Kazemi shook hands.The American envoy called the meeting “businesslike” and said at “the level of policy and principle, the Iranian position as articulated by the Iranian ambassador was very close to our own.”

Dr. William Samii, a longtime Iran specialist currently with the Center for Naval Analyses, says,  "There are powerful forces pushing the two parties into these talks."

One obstacle to any rapprochement between Washington and Tehran is the determination of Iran's most implacable enemies in the U.S. to pursue a more confrontational policy.

Based on  prolonged and vociferous reluctance to engage with Iran, one could certainly question the Bush administration's motives for the Baghdad talks, and suspect that Washington is just going through the motions; that these negotiations are little more than a diplomatic maneuver in advance of military action. If the talks fail, as their narrow agenda all but guarantees, the President could assert that military strikes are justified.

Any military strikes, regardless of their scope or precision, would represent a major expansion of the conflict in Iraq and would prove to be a catastrophic mistake. One hopes, therefore, that the President can be persuaded to step back from the brink.

So what might constitute an alternative course of action?

President Bush needs to formulate a measured and constructive response to Iranian ascendancy -- a painful reality that is more the result of the chaos in Iraq than it is the cause. An alternative to military strikes is bold and imaginative diplomacy -- a more genuine and nuanced approach than the "do-what-we-say-or-we'll- bomb-the-hell-out-of-you" variety the Bush administration prefers.

Iran : Trouble in Paradise



 Dr Ali Larijani, secretary of the Supreme National Security Council [SNSC] of Iran and the official in charge of nuclear program, has tendered his resignation for the fifth time in recent months to Supreme Leader [of the Islamic Revolution] Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Iranian sources have said that the resignation is in protest against what he described in his resignation letter as irresponsible behavior and statements by the president of the republic and his colleagues, which have obstructed the course of the negotiations with the European Union and current steps to ward off threats against Iran and its strategic interests.

Asharq Al-Awsat has more...

ELBARADI'S heightened IAEA suspicions regarding Iran

via Khaleejtimes :


ELBARADI'S heightened IAEA suspicions regarding Iran, Washington's hints at 'additional pressure' for a 'change in Iran's calculations' and the emergence of nine US warships carrying 1,700 personnel for muscle-flexing military exercises off the Iranian coast collectively bear the fingerprints of a nervous planning for fresh pressure tactics against Ahmadinejad's government.

With the latter predictably sticking to its original stance and the US now more than ever needing a breakthrough in this regard, an analysis of what could follow puts forth interesting scenarios that a changing Middle East might soon be confronted with.

The might of the American navy extends well beyond the immediate waters hosting their massive warships and aircraft carriers. Since this is the largest Gulf-deployment since the Kuwait war, it is effectively a show of extreme seriousness, signalling that preparations can go to any extreme to secure US interests.

However, the cross-currents of the political transition which is underway with a considerable force within the greater Middle East run counter to an extension of US hardware anywhere in the region. Fed up with the Iraq aftermath and the West's limp attempts to address it, even the Saudi leadership is wary of further foreign presence in the Arab heartland, openly describing the occupation as illegal. Now, time has come for the head-on-crash between the irresistible force and the immovable object. ElBaradi's couple-of-years-till-the-bomb warning has already prompted calls for sterner sanctions and a new approach that could mean anything from regime change to aerial strikes on enrichment installments. For the second to materialise, the ships just a few miles down the coast will play a very significant role. But stiff opposition from the length and breadth of a united Arab world will mean both approaches will border on the irresponsible considering America's own long term interests. On the other hand, failure to make Iran budge from its stand will only add to the speed of its waning global, particularly Middle East-specific, significance.

Years ago, George Bush brought his armies to a Middle East where his nemesis Iran was a cornered player. Half a decade of his cleansing created numerous loopholes that Teheran quickly exploited to influence insurgencies in Iraq, control politics in Lebanon, drive a wedge in Israel, raise concerns in Saudi Arabia and dominate the region's politics. All this while, America just comes across as a player desperate for the day's play to end. Caution is needed to avoid further use of force.

Iran imprisons 4th Iranian-American

via CNN :

Iran recently imprisoned a fourth person of dual Iranian and American citizenship, the man's family and colleagues told CNN on Wednesday

Kian Tajbakhsh, 45, an independent consultant and urban planner, was arrested May 11 in Tehran along with his wife, who is pregnant, according to Karim Sadjadpour of the Carnegie Endowment.


I fail to understand why Iran is committing such follies.

Is Tehran  trying to use  detained Iranian-Americans as leverage to free five Iranians who were captured in northern Iraq in January?

Iranian Mullahs should realize that this type of  actions will further isolate Iran.

Iran’s hard-line president warns Israel

Iranian President warned Israel of dire consequences if it attacks Lebanon. The warning comes as the UN nuclear watchdog says that Iran may be as little as three years away from a nuclear weapon.
 
In his speech, Ahmadinejad also referenced recent violence in the Gaza strip. He said :
 
"If you think that by bombing and assassinating Palestinian leaders, you are preparing ground for new attacks on Lebanon in the summer, I am telling you that you are seriously wrong."
 
Mark Regev,  Israeli Foreign Ministry spokesman, said Ahmadinejad’s comments proves that Iranian is helping elements Lebanon and in the Palestinian Authority.
 
I fail to understand what he will get from his rhetorics. It will further isolate Iran. His new statment will effect the talks scheduled to hold  in Baghdad on how to stabilize Iraq.
 

‘Iran arming Taliban’

Iran is supplying the Taliban with weapons and ammunition for use against coalition troops in Afghanistan, a newspaper said on Tuesday, citing a senior British army source.

The Daily Telegraph said that officers in the Iranian Revolutionary Guards were supplying hundreds of weapons, including SA7 Strella surface-to-air missiles, plastic explosives, anti-tank mines, AK47 assault rifles, mortars, rocket-propelled grenades and machine guns.

“There is reporting that leads us to believe a number of agencies, that possibly include Iranian organisations, are significantly supporting the Taliban,” the source told the broadsheet. It is not thought the Taliban militia are well trained in how to use the weaponry efficiently, said the newspaper, whose report was in line with what a diplomatic source told reporters recently.

British authorities are understood to be investigating the interception of convoys of new Revolutionary Guards weapons, one in late April and one in early May, and considers it a worrying development.

Iran is justified in arming Afghanis. Americans and British forces are encircle Iran.

What are British forces doing in Afghanistan ?  British ruled sub-continent ruthless and now they are trying to stage a come back.

Iran: Arabs Should Back Nuclear Program

via AP :

Iran urged Arab countries on Sunday to support its nuclear program but received a cool reception at the World Economic Forum, particularly from U.S. allies worried about Iran's growing regional influence.

Iranian officials said separately that the nuclear program was moving ahead as scheduled and that the country would not suspend uranium enrichment despite the threat of a third set of U.N. sanctions. The Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency is expected to present its latest report on Iran's nuclear program to the U.N. Security Council in coming days.

Arab countries should value Iran's nuclear development because it could help them address their own energy needs, said Mohammed J.A. Larijani, a former deputy foreign minister and brother of Iran's chief nuclear negotiator.

"Iran will be a partner, a brotherly partner, and will share its capabilities with the people of the region," Larijani told AP Television News at the end of the three-day World Economic Forum in this dead sea resort town.


Iran a brotherly partner:

Vali Nasr, a Council for Foreign Relations fellow explains :“The first decade of Khomeini trying to mobilize Saudi Shiites, Lebanese Shiites and trying to stage a coup in Bahrain and cause trouble in Kuwait all hardened views.”

Khomeini threatened the countries around him. He threatened Iraq and he threatened Saudi Arabia and each responded in a wrong way. Iraq ended up attacking Iran.

The Dawa Party, Shi'a Islamist party in Iraq with many linkages, even to this day, to Hezbollah, which is active on the other side of the Middle East. It conducted attacks in Kuwait in 1983, bombing the French and U.S. embassies in December of that year and nearly successful assassination attempt against the emir of Kuwait in May 1985.

Grand Ayatollah Sistani has been calling for Parliamentary democracy and the exercise of the will of the people and to get the Shi'ites in al Hasa stirred up about that is maybe not the most preferable from Riyadh's point of view.

The real cause of the tension according to Iranian author Amir Taheri, is that “Iran intends to reshape the Middle East after its own fashion” (New York Post, August 8).

Ahmadinejad stated clearly his vision for the future of the region in his election campaign: “The Middle East can have either an American future or an Islamic one led by Iran.”



<<Home